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4)- US Stock Market information
Information about changes in stock prices is of two types: composite indexes which are calculated virtually continuously throughout trading days and historical data of stock market behavior. All business publications, brokerage firms, investment companies and major banks publish an assortment of stock market price data. A number of newsletters and chart services offer advice based on analysis of the historical data.
a)- Composite stock market indexes
There are at least ten indexes regularly published in the financial
press, of which the following five are most widely quoted and
followed.
- Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA)
is the oldest and most often quoted index.
It is a price-weighted average, and
is calculated as the sum of 30 stock prices of "blue chip"
(i.e. major) corporations, divided by a divisor, which initially
in 1928 was 30, but which has been adjusted downward with each
stock split to allow comparison over the years. The selection
of the 30 stocks has changed over the years to reflect dominant
industries and companies of the time. In addition to DJIA, three
other averages are calculated: DJTA for 20 transportation companies,
DJUA for 15 utilities companies, and DJCA for a composite of all
65 above companies.
- Standard & Poor publishes six
different indexes: S&P 500 for 500 major corporations is the
best known, others are for 400 industrial companies, 20 transportation
companies, 40 utility companies, 40 financial companies and 400
midcap (medium capitalization or medium size) companies. Each
index I is calculated as a value-weighted index with a base value
of 10 in the initial period of 1941 to 1943 with the formula
It = (Sum(Pit . Qit) / Sum( Pio . Qio) ). 10
b)- Other market statistical indicators
- volume of transactions
- number of advances and declines
(also known as breadth of market when stated as a ratio, see Chapter 5 Section J-2c)
- new highs and new lows
Company risk measured by BETA coefficients
(discussed in Chapter 2 Section
E-1) are compiled and published by Value line, Goldman Sachs,
Merrill Lynch and BARRA on-line http://www.barra.com/ , as well as many other
brokers and banks. Banks and brokerage firms also publish their
own market statistics and analysis. One of the most important
is that of Solomon Brothers on money markets reporting on bonds,
yields and yield spreads.
c)- Historical market data
Each of the major exchanges: NYSE (visit http://www.nyse.com/) and NASDAQ which merged
with AMEX (visit http://www.nasdaq.com/
and http://www.otcbb.com/dynamic/)
publish annual "Factbooks" in which the major events
and the overall activity of the exchange is analyzed and reported
with supporting data and graphs. For strictly statistical information,
it is available from each of the sources that compile the data
in the first place (i.e. Dow Jones Company, S&P, etc.), and
is widely published in the press. Another
source of useful historical statistical data is Ibbotson Associates
which publishes rates of returns on stocks, bonds and government
securities with a initial period of 1926, see for instance Table T-2.1. Computerized data
on prices, trading volume and certain earnings, for traded stocks
mostly on the NYSE, is available from Value Line Investment Services,
Interactive Data Corporation at http://www.intdata.com/ (part of Financial
Times Information) and the Center for Research in Securities Prices
(with participation of University of Chicago).
For those engaged in technical analysis (introduced in Chapter 4 Sectin F-1 and outlined in Chapter 5 Section J), the most extensively used source is "Daily Action Charts" available from Trendline, others are "Technical Trends" and "Daily Graphs On-line" at http://www.dailygraphs.com/. BigCharts.com at http://www.bigcharts.com/ provides daily price quotes going back as far as 1956 on all traded stocks on major exchanges and links to all brokers' reports relating to each company.
See review questions Q-1D4.1 to Q-1D4.8
See research assignments R-1D4.1, R-1D4.2, R-1D4.3 and R-1D4.5.
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