© 2000 John Petroff 

Recommended reading and selected references



Burns, Arthur F. and Wesley C. Mitchell, "Measuring Business Cycles", National Bureau of Economic Research, New York, 1946.

Butler, William F., Robert A. Kavesh and Robert B. Platt, eds., "Methods and Techniques of business Forecasting", Prentice-Hall, Englewood Cliffs, NJ, 1974.

Butler, William F., Robert A. Kavesh, eds., "How Business Economists Forecast", Prentice-Hall, Englewood Cliffs, NJ, 1976.

Chambers, J.C. et al, "How to Choose the Right Forecasting Technique", Harvard Business Review, 49, July-August 1971, pages 45-74.

Cornell, Bradford, "Money Supply Announcements and Interest Rates: Another View", Journal of Business, January 1983, pages 12-24.

Dauten, Carl A. and Lloyd M. Valentine, "Business Cycles and Forecasting", South-West Publishing, Cincinnati, 1978, 1983.

Denison, Edward F., "Trends in American Economic Growth, 1929-1982", Brookings Institute, Washington, 1985.

Domar, Evsey D., "Essays in the Theory of Economic Growth", Oxford University Press, New York, 1957.

Dusenberry, J.S., G. Fromm, L.R. Klein and E. Kuh, eds, "The Brookings Quarterly Econometric Model of the United States", Rand McNally, Chicago, 1965.

Evans, Michael K., "Macroeconomic Activity, Theory, Forecasting, and Control", Harper & Row, New York, 1969

Evans, Michael K. and Lawrence R. Klein, "The Wharton Econometric Forecasting Model", University of Pennsylvania, Phildelphia, 1967

Friedman, Milton and Anna J. Schwartz, "Monetary Trends in the United States and the United Kingdom", University of Chicago Press, Chicago, 1982.

Fromm, G. and P. Taubman, "Policy Simulation with an Econometric Model", The Brookings Institute, Washington, 1968.

Granger, Clive W.J., and Paul Newbold, "Forecasting Economic Time Series", Academic Press, New York 1977.

Haberler, Gottfried von, "Prosperity and Depression", 3d ed., League of Nations, Geneva, 1941.

Harrod, Sir Roy, "Towards a Dynamic Economics: Some Recent Developments of Economic Theory and Their Application to Policy", Macmillan Co. of Canada, Ltd., Toronto, 1948.

Hawtrey, Ralph G., "Trade and Credit", Longmans, London, 1928.

Hawtrey, Ralph G., "Capital and Employment", Longmans, London, 1937.

Hayek, Frederich A., "Monetary Theory and the Trade Cycle", Harcourt. Brace and World, New York, 1933

Heathcotte, Bryan and Vincent P. Apilado, "The Predictive Content of Some Leading Economic Indicators for Future Stock Prices", Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, March 1979, pages 247-258

Hershman, Arlene and Mark Levenson, "The Hot Branch of Economics (demographics)", Dun's Review, May 1979, pages 50-57.

Hicks, J.R., "A Contribution to the Theory of the Trade Cycle", Clarendon Press, London, 1950.

Houthakker, H.S. and L.D. Taylor, "Consumer Demand in the United States", Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA, 1970.

Kaldor, Nicholas, "Essays on Economic Stability and Growth", Holmes & Meier, New York, 1980.

Keynes, John Maynard, "The General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money", Hartcourt, Brace & Co., New York, 1936.

Kondratieff, N.D., "The Long Waves in Economic Life", Review of Economic Statistics, November 1935.

Kuznets, Simon, "Modern Economic Growth: Rate, Structure, and Spread", Yale University Press, New Haven, 1966.

Leontief, Wassily, "Input-Output Economics", Oxford University Press, New York, 1966.

Lynge, Morgan J., Jr., "Money Supply Announcements and Stock Prices", Journal of Portfolio Management, Fall 1981, pages 40-43.

Mennis, Edmund A., "The Practical Use of Economic Analysis in Investment Management", in The Economic Framework for Investors, The Financial Analysts Research Foundation, Charlottesville, VA, 1975, pages 43-56.

Mitchell, Wesley C., "Business Cycles", University of California Press, Berkeley, 1913.

Modigliani, F., "Liquidity Preference and the Theory of Interest and Money", Econometrica, January 1944.

Montiel, Peter J., Pierre-Richard Agénor, and Nadeem Ul Haque, "Informal financial markets in developing countries : a macroeconomic analysis." Oxford, UK ; Cambridge, MA : Blackwell, 1993.

Moore, Geoffrey H., "Business Cycles, Inflation and Forecasting", Ballinger, Cambridge, MA, 1980.

Moore, Henry L., "Economic Cycles: Their Law and Cause", The Macmillan Company, New York, 1915.

Niederhoffer, Victor, "The Analysis of World Events and Stock Prices", Journal of Business, April 1971, pages 193-219.

Pigou, Arthur C. , "Industrial Fluctuations", Macmillan and Co., Ltd., London, 1927.

Pigou, Arthur C. , "The Theory of Unemployment", Macmillan and Co., Ltd., London, 1933.

Rogalski, Richard J. and Joseph D. Vinso, " Stock Returns, Money Supply and the Direction of Causality", Journal of Finance, September 1977, pages 1017-1020.

Rozeff, Michael S., "Money and Stock Prices: Market Efficiency and the Lag in Effect of Monetary Policy", Journal of Financial Economics, September 1974, pages 245-302.

Schumpeter, Joseph A., "Theory of Economic Development", Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA, 1934.

Spiro, Harvey M., "the Use of Economics in Portfolio Decisions", Journal of Portfolio Management, Spring 1976, pages 34-38.

Veblen, Thorstein B., "The Theory of the Leisure Class: An Economic Study of Institutions", Penguin Books, New York, 1979.

Wicksell, Knut, "Interest and Prices", Macmillan &Co., LTd., London, 1936.

 

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